New Essay in Draft: 1% Skepticism
My latest in crazy, dijunctive metaphysics:
Abstract:
A 1% skeptic is someone who has about a 99% credence in non-skeptical realism and about a 1% credence in the disjunction of all radically skeptical scenarios combined. The first half of this essay defends the epistemic rationality of 1% skepticism, appealing to dream skepticism, simulation skepticism, cosmological skepticism, and wildcard skepticism. The second half of the essay explores the practical behavioral consequences of 1% skepticism, arguing that 1% skepticism need not be behaviorally inert.
Full version here.
(What I mean by crazy metaphysics.)
(What I mean by disjunctive metaphysics.)
As always, comments/reactions/discussion welcome, either as comments on this post or by direct email to me.